Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.120626 0.139308 0.159678 0.183506 0.210581 0.240353 0.275537
2024-12-15 0.098428 0.124707 0.155824 0.195245 0.243703 0.301161 0.374278
2024-12-22 0.077244 0.106465 0.143734 0.194428 0.261209 0.345753 0.460407
2024-12-29 0.066431 0.098674 0.142586 0.206140 0.295016 0.414008 0.584308
2025-01-05 0.055838 0.088905 0.136747 0.210025 0.318191 0.470457 0.699064
2025-01-12 0.045716 0.077740 0.126787 0.205993 0.328903 0.510066 0.794176
2025-01-19 0.038308 0.069261 0.119236 0.203961 0.341560 0.552985 0.897790
2025-01-26 0.034861 0.066556 0.120166 0.215008 0.375263 0.630502 1.060996
2025-02-02 0.031698 0.063717 0.120308 0.224494 0.407143 0.707869 1.231008
2025-02-09 0.026710 0.056637 0.111977 0.218108 0.411273 0.740171 1.330400
2025-02-16 0.023199 0.051724 0.106749 0.216355 0.422864 0.785483 1.454983
2025-02-23 0.019813 0.046436 0.099982 0.210697 0.426468 0.816866 1.557745
2025-03-02 0.017118 0.042183 0.094748 0.207536 0.434811 0.858303 1.683901
2025-03-09 0.015489 0.039978 0.093350 0.211816 0.457890 0.928783 1.869310
2025-03-16 0.013262 0.035968 0.087520 0.206122 0.460474 0.960962 1.986183
2025-03-23 0.012459 0.035239 0.088769 0.215677 0.495185 1.058034 2.235336
2025-03-30 0.011261 0.033283 0.086928 0.218143 0.515201 1.127809 2.436967
2025-04-06 0.009770 0.030254 0.082088 0.213098 0.518357 1.163679 2.573768
2025-04-13 0.008615 0.027905 0.078522 0.210519 0.526580 1.210549 2.736672
2025-04-20 0.008262 0.027770 0.080513 0.221609 0.567043 1.328882 3.057729
2025-04-27 0.007856 0.027401 0.081838 0.231198 0.604961 1.444799 3.382517
2025-05-04 0.006822 0.024887 0.077040 0.224545 0.603466 1.474022 3.522572
2025-05-11 0.006098 0.023196 0.074232 0.222694 0.613390 1.529494 3.724431